Firstly an apology to all my blog followers for sending out yesterday’s bet to late, my Gal Fri posted the bet on the blog in plenty of time but I didn’t realise that the email update doesn’t go out instantly and gets queued by our email system. I will ensure I post the blog bets earlier in future. (My wrists have been slapped accordingly)
Awful news re Freddie Flintoff isnt it? Retiring from Test Cricket after the Ashes. Very upsetting as he is the talisman. I am hopeful that he plays on Thursday. We badly need his spirit but PLEASE Mr Strauss put him in the slips and not the outfield. Sorry but I am NOT a Strauss fan – Weak as water and not a leader so should not be Captain. Good batsman mind.
The Hughie debate. Yesterday was very enlightening. Basically those horses which landed the place bet were all supported to a price lower than the figure I took in the morning. The horses which were unplaced all drifted – some remarkably so. What does that tell us? Well you don’t have to be a ‘Rocket Surgeon’ as the garrulous Sky Rugby League commentator Barrie McDermott came out with last week. So if you see a horse drift – especially from gambling connections mentioned – then adjust your stakes downwards.
I will continue the trial as I think we are much better off this way. Again some remarkable figures seen in the Betfair price 5 minutes before the off (on short uns) v Betfair SP. The most remarkable came in the first race where the fav was 1.12 pre race (to big money) and the Betfair SP was…………1.06. Laughable. Who is making this risk free margin please? Your views are welcome and there were a few on last nights Forum and also in the Chatroom. There is an excellent thread in the Learning Zone on the forum and a first class post from phil m. Basically it should be filed away on your PC especially if using Gruss Software (which you should be doing/or similar – if you are intent in making long term profits.) Thanks phil – this is first class stuff.
As ‘tomfun’ adds – I admit that I still have a lot learn and I’ve only been at it for 44 years. Mind you Gruss has only been on the market for 2/3 years! well that is my defence anyway.
Couple of NH meetings today which gets us away from the ‘spivs’ at Lingfield & Kempton where making money is all down to the fastest finger first on the old laptop.
Decent 38/1 double yesterday in the combo and hopefully AP can give us a lot of fun & financial reward from his bet today. He has 10 rides today at Uttoxeter & Worcester all with a chance of at least placing. Amazing man. The best of all time.
Talking of the best of all time – this time Tiger Woods – brings me to my Open Golf Portfolio in today’s column. Remember the object of the exercise is to finish green on the winner on Betfair – not necessarily find the outright winner from the start. Take a look at Bookies odds before the start. I have castigated Ladbrokes for some time but in fairness the big two here (Ladbrokes & Hills) they have far better value odds than such as Coral/vcbet. Do you know Corals are not stand out top priced about any of the Golfers? Isn’t that appalling? I wonder what percentage of book they are aiming at this time?
Test match. Yes I will be Trading again and I will update when the first moves are made.
Just one ‘Live Blog Bet’ from me today:
An £12 Hughie (A place bet played via Betfair’s place markets on the horse finishing in the places i.e. 1st, 2nd, or 3rd)
£12 place only on Persian Warrior 210 U (The ground here today is similar to Stratford’s ground on Sunday so if Vacario runs I will smell a rat. Vacario was the
second leg of a double for us and after the first had won there was considerable interest from the membership only for Charlie Mann to withdraw the horse less than an hour before the race. So I shall spit my dummy out and oppose Vacario today on ground concerns at least. Since writing this churlish summary Vacario HAS indeed been taken out! Persian Warrior now short but really should win this today.) Amended price is 1.18 which I admit is not now very exciting. Raise a glass to Charlie Mann! Talk about Cotton Wool Treatment.
As always to access my full daily column of bets and trades visit my main website www.bigmikebetting.co.uk
Mike
